FUD on a Monday. I hope everyone is holding up? #uncertainty #USA #WTF
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#uncertainty
2 posts2 participants0 posts today
Continued thread
"Looking ahead, higher #tariffs will be working their way through our #economy & are likely to raise #inflation in coming quarters," #JeromePowell said.
"While #uncertainty remains elevated, it is now becoming clear that tariff increases will be significantly larger than expected, & the same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation & slower growth."
US #Stock indexes extend losses after #FederalReserve chair Powell remarks were released.
#Stocks Mark Worst Month in Years as #Trump’s Tariffs Loom
#Markets around the world have wavered as #fear & #uncertainty over #tariffs & trade wars rattle investors. The S&P 500 just recorded its worst month since 2022, shedding 5.8% in March.
#economy #Trumpcession #recession
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/30/business/stocks-nikkei-sp500.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=p&pvid=6A0E0CDF-535A-4F97-A793-7EC836C1BEC6
The New York Times · Stocks Mark Worst Month in Years as Trump’s Tariffs Loom
Deception, Obfuscation & Misdirection
This is a concatenation of posts I originally made in 2016-2017--even more relevant today...
Most are familiar with the concept of #FUD—short for #Fear, #Uncertainty & #Doubt. It summarizes a strategy often used in marketing and political propaganda. Its effects are pernicious, divisive and lead to exploitation. Examples abound. Fear is a strong motivator! To resist FUD one must understand how it is practiced using the principles of #Deception, #Obfuscation and #Misdirection.
https://mdpaths.com/rrr/commentary/deception_obfuscation_misdirection/index.html
#US #stocks are falling steeply Friday following discouraging updates on inflation & how much US households may be willing to spend given all the #uncertainty about #Trump’s escalating #TradeWar.
The S&P 500 was down 1.5% in midday trading. That would make this the 5th losing week in the last 6 for the index….
The Dow was down 520 points, or 1.2%, as of 11:30AM ET, & the Nasdaq composite was 2.1% lower.
#economy #tariffs #jobs #insecurity #trumpcession #recession
https://apnews.com/article/market-rates-trump-tariffs-91a5088aa36966aaf5e0971147a66930
Continued thread
"The #Fed is as lost in the wilderness as the rest of us trying to decipher the continual shifts in #EconomicPolicy from 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue," said #Inflation Insights' Omair Sharif, referring to the street address of the White House.
"Beyond the cut to median growth this year & the boost to median inflation, the most telling aspect of the (projections) is the shift higher in #uncertainty."
Fellow agnostics and freaks rejoice, loving uncertainty can have psychological benefits. Open-mindedness, trying weird shit, etc. Things I'm a big fan of
https://www.discovermagazine.com/mind/learning-to-love-uncertainty-may-have-psychological-benefits
Discover Magazine · Learning to Love Uncertainty May Have Psychological Benefits
Bank of Finland warns: global uncertainty threatens Finland’s growth https://www.byteseu.com/819987/ #bank #economy #Europe #Exports #Finland #Global #Growth #political #Security #trade #Ukraine #Uncertainty #War
Bytes Europe · Bank of Finland warns: global uncertainty threatens Finland’s growthThe global political landscape is shifting in a way that poses serious risks for Europe, according to Olli Rehn, Governor of the Bank of Finland. He stresses the urgency of strengthening European security and increasing support for Ukraine.
Uncertainty in the eurozone is holding back investment and exports, with risks tilting towards weaker growth.
Inflation is stabilising around the 2% target, but economic expansion remains sluggish. Increased defence spending could, however, boost production in the euro area.
The latest Eurosystem forecast projects an inflation rate of 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. Indicators of underlying inflation suggest that
Replied to Nicomo
#Norway #Doubles #Ukraine #Aid #Amid #Uncertainty #European #parliament #approved #support #defense #strengthen #security
Its time for norway and Iceland to join EU and use Euro to participate with it, too.
#Norway #Doubles #Ukraine #Aid to €7.5 Billion in 2025 #Amid# US #Uncertainty
Norway will more than double its aid to Ukraine in 2025, increasing funding to nearly €7.5 billion as #European nations step up support amid uncertainty over US assistance, Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre announced.
The Norwegian #parliament #approved an additional €4 billion in aid to #support Ukraine’s #defense, #strengthen European #security, and contribute to a long-term peace plan led by European allies.
Norway has already provided significant military aid to Ukraine, including Hellfire missiles, artillery systems, and investments in ammunition production.
As the US halts military aid, Norway’s decision underscores Europe’s commitment to sustaining Ukraine’s war effort and ensuring its long-term resilience against Russian aggression.
Replied in thread
“The stock market has dropped dramatically over the past three days owing to both the tariffs and the uncertainty over their implementation.”
—Heather Cox Richardson, March 6, 2025
#tariffs #uncertainty
Replied in thread
@Mareike2405 betont in Ihrer #DHd2025 Keynote, dass Unfertigkeit, Mehrdeutigkeit, Multiperspektivität, #Uncertainty seit jeher zentral für die (D)H sind. Dies müsse stärker anerkannt, sichtbar und auch in Publikationen abgebildet werden. Das leuchtet mir ein! Wie wäre es, wenn wir unsere Wissensangebote als (zu plausibilisierende) Simulationen verstehen?
Continued thread
#StockMarkets opened even lower on Tues, reflecting mounting investor concerns about the global #economy, after #Trump imposed #tariffs on #Canada, #Mexico & #China, & Beijing & Ottawa announced swift retaliation.
The escalating #TradeWar added to global #uncertainty that was compounded by the Trump admin’s decision to suspend #military #aid to #Ukraine.
The S&P 500 fell 0.7% at the start of trading, adding to a 1.8% loss on Monday that was its sharpest decline this year.
Continued thread
While #Trump has acknowledged that his policies could bring some *initial* pain [like how he said #COVID would be over in 2 weeks], the early warning signs suggest that his blunt approach could come w/more ominous #risks to the #economy.
“There’s more #uncertainty than I think is widely appreciated,” said Michael Strain, an economist at the conservative American Enterprise Institute.
Continued thread
#Trump #Funding freezes & #firings of #FederalWorkers combined w/the prospect of costly #trade wars are souring #consumer sentiment, raising #inflation expectations & stalling #business #investment plans, acc/to recent economic surveys.
Local economies are also bracing for a sudden withdrawal of fiscal support, forcing ofcls to contemplate #tax increases or municipal bond offerings to stabilize their budgets.
#Consumer & #business sentiment is wobbling as fiscal support fades & fears rise that #tariffs will lead to higher #prices.
The US #economy is starting to show signs of strain as #Trump’s *abrupt* [random, unreasonable, illogical] moves to shrink federal spending, lay off #FederalWorkers & impose tariffs on America’s largest trading partners rattle businesses & reverberate across states & cities.
#Funding #firings #trade #inflation #chaos #uncertainty #DOGE #Musk #USpol
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/27/business/trump-tariffs-spending-cuts-economy.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=p&pvid=27AA0996-3858-421E-B5CD-6EA1BF469CB0
The New York Times · U.S. Economy Shows Signs of Strain From Trump’s Tariffs and Spending Cuts
"Nothing tightens the purse like uncertainty!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
As the saying goes, 'We're not in Kansas anymore.' But it certainly feels like it's the fall of 2008! Time to roll out some older brochure copy!
What's up? This is the topic that I found myself covering on stage from 2009 to about 2012, and I fully expect to be doing it again. Just yesterday, I bumped the topic up on my keynote list!
One of the interesting things about the industry I am in is that it can be a bellwether for the broader economy. As consumer confidence crashes, so too does the number of conferences and events. Travel cutbacks kick in, spending is put under a microscope, and leaders get nervous. Oh, and people who have been recently laid off are too busy trying to find work to attend an event somewhere. I had 108 rounds of golf last year. I suspect I'll beat that record!
What's up? You are probably watching the same headlines I'm seeing.
Consumer confidence is shattering.
Fears of a recession are spiraling.
Look, I don't want to seem like Chicken Little screaming that the sky is falling.
But speaking about chickens, let's talk about the price of eggs. If we go back just a little bit in the past, it seems like all that people wanted was cheaper eggs!
Ya, um, nope.
The situation has gotten so dire that Waffle House has begun adding a surcharge for every egg they sell.
Did you know there is a site in which you can track the price of eggs? It's at
https://pantryandlarder.com/eggspensive
Things are wild out there! In Denver, they're suggesting that people rent chickens to get their eggs.
it's surprisingly easy to do this. Just go to RentTheChicken.com
Want to know something wild? They might need to solve the egg problem by sourcing them from that new enemy, Canada!
This seems rather eggsciting!
----
Futurist Jim Carroll usually has yogurt for breakfast.
**#Uncertainty** **#Economics** **#Recession** **#Innovation** **#Volatility** **#Opportunity** **#Leadership** **#Resilience** **#Transformation** **#Future**
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2025/02/daily-inspiration-economic-signals-nothing-tightens-the-purse-like-uncertainty/
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Prices pressures are persisting at a time of extreme #uncertainty about the outlook for the #economy just weeks into #Trump’s 2nd term. #Tariffs, #deportations, #tax cuts & #deregulation are expected to have an *economic impact* [not a good one], but the final policy mix will determine whether economists & policymakers will pay more mind to the risk of resurgent #inflation or an unexpected slowdown in growth.
"Lost my memory and can't understand the forest"
Fujica ST-701 Helios 44 Kodak Gold 200
#Film #FilmIsNotDead #Analog #ShotOnFilm #PhotographyLovers #35mm #Fujica #Helios44 #SilentSunday #MyWork #Forest #ForestPhotography #Winter #PhotographyIsArt #Photography #Fear #Uncertainty
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