China has launched major military drills near Taiwan, calling them a warning against separatism and US support for the island’s independence, per Reuters.
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Tim Cook says China is better at manufacturing is "because the quantity of skill."
Prices for shipping containers from Shanghai or Northern Europe to the US have been dropping since the summer of 2024 and now this:
https://www.reddit.com/r/Truckers/s/GHsGsunJGU
I am getting a weird feeling that supply chain shocks are coming to the USA.
Cyclical stocks are already trading as if we're in a recession, Morgan Stanley, $MS, has said:
There is an increase among Democrats and Republicans of seeing Canadians as "unfriendly" or "an enemy," per YouGov.
The Tokyo stock market has been the worst performing major equity market year-to-date, but companies trading in Japan, insulated from tariffs on exports, are often overlooked in this dark picture. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2025/04/18/markets/tariff-stocks-defensive/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #business #markets #nikkei #stocks #donaldtrump #tariffs #topix #kospi #wallstreet #tse
The Japan Times · Tokyo stock picker advises Trump-proofing portfolios with Godzilla-creator Toho
United Healthcare, $UNH, is down 22% after missing its earnings.
JUST IN: Chinese refiners are importing record amounts of Canadian crude after slashing purchases of US oil by roughly 90% amid escalating trade war, per Bloomberg.
#Fed Chair #JeromePowell on #US #economy & #inflation amid #Trump #tariffs uncertainty
US #stocks added to losses as Powell was speaking.
"The tariffs are larger than forecasters had expected, certainly larger than we expected, even in our upside case," he said.
He also said the Fed is still uncertain what Trump’s new trade policies will ultimately be.
The effects of policies now will likely move the Fed away from its goals.
For years Nobuhiro Doi resisted calls for Japan's banks to end the long-standing practice of holding shares in their corporate clients, but the 68-year-old president of Kyoto Financial Group is coming around to the idea. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2025/04/16/companies/kyoto-bank-more-open-to-mergers/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #business #companies #kyotofinancialgroup #kyoto #regionalbanks #stocks #mergers
The Japan Times · Kyoto bank shifts stance on mergers and cuts to cross-shareholdings
Alright, looks like some traders are getting news of tariff pauses, insider deals, and penalties beforehand.
$SMH had $1.13 MILLION!! in the 175 puts, ask side, 14% OTM. THIS WAS THE TOP CHAIN, one floor trade swept.
$NVDA China news came out, down 7$, $SMH down 4%.
$NVDA had https://t.co/Hv6IC0UzFs
Somebody _always_ knows before the market does. 
NVDA releases ugly news after the bell, but some traders made sure to dump over $1B USD in NVDA shares about an hour before the closing bell.
The efficiency of Japanese stock markets 1924-43 changed with contingent events, institutions & gov't intervention, according to Hiryama & Noda using a capitalization-weighted price index. A war-related risk premium reduced market efficiency in the 1930s. OA in the Asia-Pacific EcHR
https://doi.org/10.1111/aehr.12297
@economics @demography @socialscience @sociology @politicalscience @geography @econhist @devecon @sts @SocArXivBot #history #histodons #Japan #WWII #bizhis #stocks #MarketVolatility #finance
Continued thread
Liquidity in the S&P 500 index is approaching fairly low levels.
This shows that traders are generally pulling back from the market and there are less traders willing to buy/sell shares and options contracts right now.
What happens when there is less participation? Prices can swing wildly because it takes much less effort to push the indexes around.
Continued thread
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) had its #1 biggest trade _ever_ in the history of the ETF last week and tried to break above it this afternoon.
Narrator: It did not work.
Financial hardship withdrawals are rising, per Vanguard, with a record 4.8% initiating a withdrawal, up from 3.6% in 2023.
Trump threatens new tariffs on smartphones days after exempting them
> Donald Trump says Chinese-made #smartphones and other electronics will not be exempt from tariffs - adding they are simply moving into a different levy "bucket".
> European stock markets bounced up on Monday morning after Friday's official announcement that some of these products would escape levies of up to 145%.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62z54gwd22o #stocks
www.bbc.comTrump threatens new tariffs on smartphones days after exempting themPresident Trump says Chinese-made electronics are simply moving to a different levy "bucket".