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#lpc

4 posts4 participants0 posts today
Replied to Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

@chris

It seems likely he will be removed if this election plays out as the current conservative pollsters are pushing: they are clearly pushing the narrative of "if not #CPC, then #LPC at any cost!"

Which I find extremely telling. Do we really want to elect Angus Reid's second choice after #PP?

Reality is: most #BC and #AB ridings are more likely to elect #NDP or CPC than LPC. This may be true in #SK & #MB, and elsewhere. We need clean data from the sources, not Fournier's weighted model.

I created a line chart from the data of polls tracked by 338Canada.com. I wanted to see it myself.

Nothing revelatory here but I really wanted to watch that CPC and NDP trend. This makes it easier than looking at the table.

Looks like the CPC is stuck in the 35-40% band. The LPC has reached its peak around 45% and the NDP and Bloc found their bottoms at 6% and 4% respectively.

Will the #TrumpTariffs produce a shift?

338canada.com/polls.htm
#Elxn45 #CanPoli #CPC #LPC #NDP #Bloc #GPC #PPC

I hate strategic voting. If climate destroying, wealth transfer policies aren't what you want, why are you endorsing it at the ballot box? Also the amount of people who push strategic voting, but say not voting is an endorsement of the conservatives is insane. Only one of you is endorsing anti climate plutocratic policies and it isn't the non-voter.

In 4 Monday's we will be having #elxn45 in Canada!

If it were held today, according to 338canada.com, the networks would likely call it almost immediately if these projections bear out. Eastern Canada will send 151 Liberals. Only 172 seats are needed for a majority.

I still think the NDP projection is way too low, and I expect 2 Greens, but neither of those will change the overall outcome.

That said, 4 weeks is a long time!
#CdnPoli #CanPoli #NDP #LPC #CPC #Bloc #Green

Continued thread

I just trolled around the four English party websites.
I will avoid completing their address so one doesn’t get previewed but here they are fyi:

Conservative. Ca
Liberal. Ca
NDP. Ca
Green Party.Ca

Interesting differences.

The #cpc have no candidates listed. Only messages from Dear Leader, and it’s sparse. Mostly just his transcribed words. The ironic part is I have seen door hangers for the CPC candidate in my riding, but no idea what his name is. If it is anything like the provincial election, I expect MASSIVE CPC signage in my riding. It didn’t work provincially… we’ll see what happens now.

The #LPC have many candidates listed and ready, lots of content. No one mentioned for my riding. (They are not generally a contender)

The #NDP has almost all candidates listed but ironically, not mine even though I just received a sign, but the site is ready with similarly lots of content.

The #GPC has only a handful of candidates, but our local candidate @chrismarkevich is listed.

With such an incredibly short campaign there will not be much time for parties to fill out the details. No doubt everyone will be hyper focused on GOTV efforts. Advance voting will begin in just a couple weeks!

Contrast: The #LPC campaign will allow media to travel with the Carney during #elxn45. This is normal practice. And media who wish to travel/cover the leader will pay $35K for the duration of the campaign. (Hotels extra).

Great point from @jessebrown on #CanadaLand about the trade war and the upcoming federal election in #Canada: regardless of whether you're a #LPC, #NDP, #CPC, or #BlocQuebecois candidate, we don't want to see you spending a dime on electoral ads on Meta platforms or Elon's Nazi Xesspool, or, I would add, on any form of Google ad.

Additionally, I for one will be looking for Amazon packages outside candidates' riding offices; I hope to see none. Canada before candidate; Canada before party. Put your money where your mouth is, all of you, and don't give those fascist oligarchs another dime.